Mobilising revenue: opportunities for lower-income countries during the pandemic
This brief addresses the fiscal response to the coronavirus pandemic, arguing that governments could make use of the opportunities this shock provides to make changes to tax systems now that might be politically difficult later.
Estimating the COVID-19 Infection Rate: Anatomy of an Inference Problem
As a consequence of missing data on tests for infection and imperfect accuracy of tests, reported rates of cumulative population infection by the SARS CoV-2 virus are lower than actual rates of infection. Hence, reported rates of severe illness conditional on infection are higher than actual rates.
A Multi-Risk SIR Model with Optimally Targeted Lockdown
A research paper just published develops a new model of COVID-19 infection, survival and economic costs in which lockdown is targeted differentialy across 3 age groups, the old (65+), the young (20-49) and the middle aged.