Working papers

A study of the Two-Way Fixed Effects (TWFE) estimator in a general setting where multiple groups can enter and exit a binary treatment over time. 

This paper studies the unanticipated removal of consumption taxes on selected food items in Papua New Guinea.

Household consumption and saving depend on perceived income risk, yet macroeconomic models typically discipline income processes using realized data.

State-dependent local projections (LPs) are widely used to study how causal effects vary as a function of economic states. 

Applicants for disability benefits face a long wait for a decision, with uncertainty over how long the wait will last and outcome – award or rejection

We study whether longer working lives translate into investments in work-related health before retirement.

Our review demonstrates that measuring welfare at the individual level fundamentally reshapes our understanding of inequality

Focusing on a wave of austerity cuts, I show that police station closure increased violent crimes in census blocks near the defunct stations.

We study the incidence, sources and dynamics of low-wage employment using harmonised linked employer-employee data from six European countries.

We develop a framework for identifying the relative influence of joint decision-makers’ beliefs without assuming Pareto optimality when beliefs differ

We examine the consequences of neonatal health using birth anthropometric measures and analyse their associations with outcomes across the life course

Does a party benefit from taking an action which worsens the disagreement point for all parties, but relatively less for themselves?

This paper evaluates a scalable model that engages parents to improve early learning in contexts where both schools and homes are constrained.

An in-person survey in Pakistan and online surveys across multiple countries reveal widespread concern about horizontal equity.

This paper provides the first quasi-experimental evidence on delaying children’s smartphone ownership through a community-led policy.

In a turbulent world, effective policy requires granular estimates of firm responses to shocks as they unfold.

Divorce reshapes family life, yet little is known about one of its most consequential features: the allocation of child custody.

Using the Indonesian Family Life Survey (IFLS) and Census data, we study multigenerational correlations in education across three generations.

We examine the relationship between childhood socio-emotional skills and labour market outcomes using the 1970 British Cohort Study. 

In this paper, we estimate average equivalized consumption measures across 367 local authority districts in Great Britain.