What's the future of corporation tax? podcast<p><span style="color:black;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;">Corporation tax was introduced 60 years ago. Despite many predictions of its decline, it is now forecast to raise record amounts. </span></p>10 April 2025
Spring Statement 2025: IFS Zooms In podcast<p style="-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;background-color:rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing:border-box;color:rgb(13, 13, 13);counter-reset:list-1 0 list-2 0 list-3 0 list-4 0 list-5 0 list-6 0 list-7 0 list-8 0 list-9 0;cursor:text;font-family:Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:13px;font-style:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;margin:0px;orphans:2;padding:0px;text-align:left;text-decoration-color:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;white-space:pre-wrap;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;"> What were the decisions and trade-offs made by Chancellor Reeves?</p>27 March 2025
The Schools Bill: what's changing and why? podcast<p class="p1">The bill aims to improve education and social care for children. But will it work?</p>11 March 2025
IFS Annual Lecture: Trade Wars and the Future of Globalisation conference 20 May 2025 <p>Professor Meredith Crowley will deliver the 2025 <span style="-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;background-color:rgb(255, 255, 255);color:rgb(37, 61, 64);display:inline !important;float:none;font-family:"DM Serif Text", serif;font-size:20px;font-style:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-align:start;text-decoration-color:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;white-space:normal;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;">IFS Annual Lecture. </span></p>
From Sure Start to Family Hubs: how can evidence best inform policymaking for joined up family support in the early years? conference 22 May 2025 <p>This event will explore the evidence and policy landscape around early years family support. It will also mark the launch of a new report from IFS.</p>
Jobs landing page<p>At IFS, we recruit and train top-quality economists and professional support staff. We aim to foster a respectful and inclusive working environment.</p>20 July 2022
Centre for the Microeconomic Analysis of Public Policy The Research Centre at the heart of IFS is the CPP.
Small area consumption estimates for local authorities in Great Britain Working PaperIn this paper, we estimate average equivalised consumption measures across local authority districts in Great Britain.11 April 2025
Subjective expectations and demand for contraception Working PaperWe collect data on the subjective beliefs of married, adult women not wanting a pregnancy and estimate a structural model of contraceptive choices.9 April 2025
The impact of labour demand shocks when occupational labour supplies are heterogeneous Working PaperWe develop a tractable equilibrium model of the labour market with heterogeneous labour supply elasticities by occupation and across occupation pairs.8 April 2025
Costly attention and retirement Working PaperIn UK data, I document the prevalence of misbeliefs regarding State Pension eligibility age (SPA) and these misbeliefs’ predictivity of retirement.1 April 2025
Housing wealth, marital stability and labor supply: an intertemporal analysis Working PaperWe study how house price shocks affect marital stability and household labor supply.28 March 2025
Police infrastructure, police performance, and crime: evidence from austerity cuts Working PaperFocusing on a wave of austerity cuts, I show that police station closure increased violent crimes in census blocks near the defunct stations.27 March 2025
The menopause "penalty" Working PaperWe show that a menopause diagnosis leads to lasting drops in earnings and employment, alongside greater reliance on social transfers.21 March 2025
The short- and long-run effects of paying disadvantaged teenagers to go to school Working PaperThis working paper studies the long-run effect of a cash transfer to disadvantaged students on educational attainment, earnings and crime.26 February 2025
Multitasking, two-part contracts, and bunching: an application to doctors' tasks Working PaperThe optimal design of incentive contracts critically depends on whether the tasks performed by agents are complementary or substitutable.24 February 2025
Imagine your life at 25: gender conformity and later-life outcomes Working PaperWe analyse thousands of essays written by 11-year-old girls in 1969 to assess conformity with gender norms and its implications for future outcomes.22 February 2025
Vog: using volcanic eruptions to estimate the impact of air pollution on student test scores Working PaperWe demonstrate that poor air quality disproportionately impacts the human capital accumulation of economically disadvantaged children.20 February 2025
Intergenerational mobility in socio-emotional skills Working PaperThis paper investigates the intergenerational transmission of socio-emotional skills during childhood, using the 1970 British Cohort Study in the UK.12 February 2025
The determinants of local housing supply in England Working PaperWe estimate local housing supply elasticities for 325 local authorities and 6,788 census tract areas in England.4 February 2025
The welfare effects of price shocks and household relief packages: Evidence from an energy crisis Working PaperHow should governments respond to rapid increases in the cost of living driven by shocks to the prices of staple goods?31 January 2025
A neyman-orthogonalization approach to the incidental parameter problem Working PaperWe apply our method to a fixed-effect model of team production and obtain estimates of complementarity in production. 31 January 2025
Ethnic differences in retirement wealth accumulation in the UK Working PaperWhat factors contribute to ethnic gaps in private pension participation rates, and how might these gaps impact future retirement incomes?23 January 2025
Prediction sets and conformal inference with censored outcomes Working PaperThis paper provides estimation methods of such prediction sets given observed conditioning covariates when 𝑌 is censored or measured in intervals. 21 January 2025
Why does raising the early retirement age affect employment? Working PaperWe study ten years of reforms in the United Kingdom which increased the ERA for women from 60 to 66.6 January 2025
Costly attention and retirement Working PaperIn UK data, I document the prevalence of misbeliefs regarding the State Pension eligibility age (SPA) and these misbeliefs predictivity of retirement.20 December 2024
Tax evasion and the contribution-benefit link: the case of maternity benefits Working PaperThis paper studies tax evasion and the contribution-benefit link in the context of maternity benefits in Hungary.18 December 2024