Trade Wars: The end of globalisation? podcast<p>Rising tariffs and trade wars are reshaping global trade. Is this the end of globalisation—and what does it mean for the UK and the world economy?</p>4 June 2025
Why is the government reforming health-related benefits? podcast<p>We discuss the government's welfare reforms aimed at helping sick and disabled people into work, and what the changes mean for health-related benefits</p>14 May 2025
What's the future of corporation tax? podcast<p><span style="color:black;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;">Corporation tax was introduced 60 years ago. Despite many predictions of its decline, it is now forecast to raise record amounts. </span></p>10 April 2025
CIOT/IFS Debate: What next for international tax co-operation? event 16 June 2025 <p>At this online event <span style="-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;background-color:rgb(255, 255, 255);color:rgb(0, 0, 0);display:inline !important;float:none;font-family:"Open Sans", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:16px;font-style:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-align:left;text-decoration-color:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;white-space:normal;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;">an expert panel will debate the future of international tax co-operation.</span></p>
Scaling early childhood development programmes and policies in low- and middle-income countries conference 24 June 2025 <p><span data-teams="true">Thrive, on behalf of IFS and OPM, is hosting a two-day international interdisciplinary conference.</span></p>
IFS Deaton Review: Inequalities in the 21st Century special session at the RES 2025 Annual Conference announcement<p>This year's RES Conference features a special session on the IFS Deaton Review of Inequalities with key IFS contributors to the review.</p>16 June 2025
Jobs landing page<p>At IFS, we recruit and train top-quality economists and professional support staff. We aim to foster a respectful and inclusive working environment.</p>20 July 2022
Centre for the Microeconomic Analysis of Public Policy The Research Centre at the heart of IFS is the CPP.
Female genital cutting and the slave trade Working PaperWe investigate the historical origins of female genital cutting (FGC) and how FGC is associated with the Red Sea route of the African slave trade.10 May 2025
The health effects of universal early childhood interventions: evidence from Sure Start Working PaperWe estimate the health impacts of Sure Start, a universal integrated ECI in England, from infancy to adolescence. 9 May 2025
Measuring cost of living inequality during an inflation surge Working PaperWe provide new evidence that inflation inequality surged during the 2021–2023 cost-of living crisis.9 May 2025
Estimating intra-household sharing from time-use data Working PaperEstimating intra-household sharing is crucial to understanding overall inequality. However, expenditure data is almost always at the household level.2 May 2025
Focal pricing constraints and pass-through of input cost changes Working PaperI show that the adoption and extent of focal pricing practices in an industry in general do not lower average pass-through of input cost changes.2 May 2025
Female empowerment and household emissions Working PaperWe find that women have lower emissions propensities than men, and therefore greater female empowerment is associated with lower household emissions.2 May 2025
Small area consumption estimates for local authorities in Great Britain Working PaperIn this paper, we estimate average equivalised consumption measures across local authority districts in Great Britain.11 April 2025
Subjective expectations and demand for contraception Working PaperWe collect data on the subjective beliefs of married, adult women not wanting a pregnancy and estimate a structural model of contraceptive choices.9 April 2025
The impact of labour demand shocks when occupational labour supplies are heterogeneous Working PaperWe develop a tractable equilibrium model of the labour market with heterogeneous labour supply elasticities by occupation and across occupation pairs.8 April 2025
Costly attention and retirement Working PaperIn UK data, I document the prevalence of misbeliefs regarding State Pension eligibility age (SPA) and these misbeliefs’ predictivity of retirement.1 April 2025
Housing wealth, marital stability and labor supply: an intertemporal analysis Working PaperWe study how house price shocks affect marital stability and household labor supply.28 March 2025
Police infrastructure, police performance, and crime: evidence from austerity cuts Working PaperFocusing on a wave of austerity cuts, I show that police station closure increased violent crimes in census blocks near the defunct stations.27 March 2025
The menopause "penalty" Working PaperWe show that a menopause diagnosis leads to lasting drops in earnings and employment, alongside greater reliance on social transfers.21 March 2025
The short- and long-run effects of paying disadvantaged teenagers to go to school Working PaperThis working paper studies the long-run effect of a cash transfer to disadvantaged students on educational attainment, earnings and crime.26 February 2025
Multitasking, two-part contracts, and bunching: an application to doctors' tasks Working PaperThe optimal design of incentive contracts critically depends on whether the tasks performed by agents are complementary or substitutable.24 February 2025
Imagine your life at 25: gender conformity and later-life outcomes Working PaperWe analyse thousands of essays written by 11-year-old girls in 1969 to assess conformity with gender norms and its implications for future outcomes.22 February 2025
Vog: using volcanic eruptions to estimate the impact of air pollution on student test scores Working PaperWe demonstrate that poor air quality disproportionately impacts the human capital accumulation of economically disadvantaged children.20 February 2025
Intergenerational mobility in socio-emotional skills Working PaperThis paper investigates the intergenerational transmission of socio-emotional skills during childhood, using the 1970 British Cohort Study in the UK.12 February 2025
The determinants of local housing supply in England Working PaperWe estimate local housing supply elasticities for 325 local authorities and 6,788 census tract areas in England.4 February 2025
The welfare effects of price shocks and household relief packages: evidence from an energy crisis Working PaperHow should governments respond to rapid increases in the cost of living driven by shocks to the prices of staple goods?31 January 2025