How important is the OBR forecast? podcast<p>The OBR forecast will underpin the Chancellor’s decisions at the next Spring Forecast.</p>12 February 2025
Do tariffs work? podcast<p>We discuss the economic consequences of tariffs, why governments use them, and whether they actually achieve their intended goals.</p>23 January 2025
How can we make government more productive? podcast<div class="flex-shrink-0 flex flex-col relative items-end"><div><div class="pt-0"><div class="gizmo-bot-avatar flex h-8 w-8 items-center justify-center overflow-hidden rounded-full"><div class="relative p-1 rounded-sm flex items-center justify-center bg-token-main-surface-primary text-token-text-primary h-8 w-8"><svg class="icon-md" width="41" height="41" viewBox="0 0 41 41" fill="none" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" role="img"><text x="-9999" y="-9999"></text><path d="M37.5324 16.8707C37.9808 15.5241 38.1363 14.0974 37.9886 12.6859C37.8409 11.2744 37.3934 9.91076 36.676 8.68622C35.6126 6.83404 33.9882 5.3676 32.0373 4.4985C30.0864 3.62941 27.9098 3.40259 25.8215 3.85078C24.8796 2.7893 23.7219 1.94125 22.4257 1.36341C21.1295 0.785575 19.7249 0.491269 18.3058 0.500197C16.1708 0.495044 14.0893 1.16803 12.3614 2.42214C10.6335 3.67624 9.34853 5.44666 8.6917 7.47815C7.30085 7.76286 5.98686 8.3414 4.8377 9.17505C3.68854 10.0087 2.73073 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12.1667 35.5464 13.6095 35.3055 15.0128ZM14.2424 21.9419L10.8752 19.9981C10.8576 19.9893 10.8423 19.9763 10.8309 19.9602C10.8195 19.9441 10.8122 19.9254 10.8098 19.9058V10.6071C10.8107 9.18295 11.2173 7.78848 11.9819 6.58696C12.7466 5.38544 13.8377 4.42659 15.1275 3.82264C16.4173 3.21869 17.8524 2.99464 19.2649 3.1767C20.6775 3.35876 22.0089 3.93941 23.1034 4.85067C23.0427 4.88379 22.937 4.94215 22.8668 4.98473L14.9024 9.58517C14.7025 9.69878 14.5366 9.86356 14.4215 10.0626C14.3065 10.2616 14.2466 10.4877 14.2479 10.7175L14.2424 21.9419ZM16.071 17.9991L20.4018 15.4978L24.7325 17.9975V22.9985L20.4018 25.4983L16.071 22.9985V17.9991Z" fill="currentColor"></path></svg></div></div></div></div></div><div class="group/conversation-turn relative flex w-full min-w-0 flex-col agent-turn"><div class="flex-col gap-1 md:gap-3"><div class="flex max-w-full flex-col flex-grow"><div class="min-h-8 text-message flex w-full flex-col items-end gap-2 whitespace-normal break-words [.text-message+&]:mt-5" data-message-author-role="assistant" data-message-id="1583144b-b0e6-447e-84af-e4d9e5215ef5" dir="auto" data-message-model-slug="gpt-4o"><div class="flex w-full flex-col gap-1 empty:hidden first:pt-[3px]"><div class="markdown prose w-full break-words dark:prose-invert dark"><p>How can the public sector do more with less? We explore productivity trends, government reform and lessons from private sector innovation.</p></div></div></div></div></div></div>3 December 2024
Scottish Budget 2025-26: IFS analysis event 20 February 2025 <p>At this online event, IFS researchers presented their analysis of the Scottish Budget proposals and the wider Scottish tax and spending context.</p>
Did the Education Maintenance Allowance improve outcomes? event 26 February 2025 <p>At this online event IFS researchers will present findings on the effect of the rollout of the Education Maintenance Allowance in England.</p>
IFS residential conference 2025: How do we build a business tax system for the 21st century? conference 3 April 2025 <p>This conference, in association with <a href="https://www.deloitte.co.uk">Deloitte</a>, will discuss the UK business tax system in the context of the new Corporate Tax Roadmap.</p>
Jobs landing page<p>At IFS, we recruit and train top-quality economists and professional support staff. We aim to foster a respectful and inclusive working environment.</p>20 July 2022
Centre for the Microeconomic Analysis of Public Policy The Research Centre at the heart of IFS is the CPP.
New revenue figures tee up consequential Spring Forecast CommentNew data shows borrowing for this year running higher than forecast at last October’s Budget.21 February 2025
Spending £200m on the Covid inquiry is symbolic of Britain’s failure CommentWe borrowed and spent more than other countries to respond to the pandemic and the sharp rise in energy prices two years later.17 February 2025
Response to ‘Local authority funding reform: objectives and principles’ consultation by MHCLG CommentA submission by IFS researchers Kate Ogden and David Phillips to a government consultation on the principles and objectives of council funding reform.10 February 2025
Response to the final English local government finance settlement Comment2025–26 will continue the substantial above-inflation increases in funding for English councils, but their costs have also been outpacing inflation.4 February 2025
How can Labour be pro-growth on Heathrow but not North Sea oil? CommentConfusion is built into our approach to net zero. We need to be more pragmatic about whether emissions will genuinely be new. 3 February 2025
Scottish Government boosts NHS spending – and holds £350 million in reserve CommentIn-year top-ups mean big increases in Scottish NHS spending this year – but that means plans for 2025–26 now look relatively less generous.31 January 2025
How should governments help households during an energy crisis? CommentThe government spent billions on support to help households with their energy bills in 2022–23. Could a better-designed package have saved money?31 January 2025
Initial response to the Scottish Government’s 2024–25 Spring Budget Revision CommentHow will the latest plans for spending in 2024–25 boost the amount that the Scottish Government has to spend next year and beyond?30 January 2025
The UK’s near-record government revenues are not uncommon internationally CommentHow do changes in UK government revenues over time compare with what has been seen in other advanced countries?27 January 2025
In just over 15 months’ time, the state pension age starts rising again CommentIt is now 66 for both men and women. Between April 2026 and March 2028 it will rise to 67.24 January 2025
Response to ‘The Financing of the Scottish Government’ Inquiry by the Scottish Affairs Committee CommentThis response to a UK parliamentary inquiry assesses how the Scottish Government is funded, including via the Barnett formula and Fiscal Framework.23 January 2025
What is this government’s ‘theory of growth’? Nobody knows Comment"Shifting the performance of an entire economy requires a long-term, consistent and persistent direction." Paul Johnson writes for the Times.20 January 2025
Rachel Reeves’s new year predicament CommentRising interest rates could put the government on track to miss its fiscal rules. What are the Chancellor’s options? 10 January 2025
Why 2025 is a critical year for FE funding CommentOur latest report on education spending in England shows how further education has faced some of the deepest funding cuts across the education system.9 January 2025
Rising interest rates erode razor-thin margin against fiscal targets CommentIf a recent rise in borrowing costs proved persistent, it will make it even harder for the Chancellor to continue to meet her main fiscal rule. 9 January 2025
Social care is the nightmare that won’t go away CommentA government with a big majority should have had the political will to do more than just set up another review.6 January 2025
The 2025–26 English Local Government Finance Settlement explained CommentEnglish councils’ core spending power set to increase 3.8% in real terms next year, but increases will vary hugely across the country.18 December 2024
The government’s 80% employment rate target: lessons from history and abroad CommentHow can the UK achieve an 80% employment rate? What lessons can we learn from history and other countries?12 December 2024
Childcare funding rates largely protected in real terms - with a big uplift for disadvantage premium Comment2025/26 childcare funding rates offer real-terms protection for the early years budget, with a boost to the funding top-up for disadvantaged children11 December 2024
Strong language, Sir Keir. Now back up your housing pledge with action CommentThe prime minister’s rhetoric on housebuilding is welcome, but it won’t be enough without a complete overhaul of the planning system.9 December 2024
Commentary: all content
Showing 1 – 20 of 1264 results
New revenue figures tee up consequential Spring Forecast
New data shows borrowing for this year running higher than forecast at last October’s Budget.
21 February 2025
Spending £200m on the Covid inquiry is symbolic of Britain’s failure
We borrowed and spent more than other countries to respond to the pandemic and the sharp rise in energy prices two years later.
17 February 2025
Response to ‘Local authority funding reform: objectives and principles’ consultation by MHCLG
A submission by IFS researchers Kate Ogden and David Phillips to a government consultation on the principles and objectives of council funding reform.
10 February 2025
Response to the final English local government finance settlement
2025–26 will continue the substantial above-inflation increases in funding for English councils, but their costs have also been outpacing inflation.
4 February 2025
How can Labour be pro-growth on Heathrow but not North Sea oil?
Confusion is built into our approach to net zero. We need to be more pragmatic about whether emissions will genuinely be new.
3 February 2025
Scottish Government boosts NHS spending – and holds £350 million in reserve
In-year top-ups mean big increases in Scottish NHS spending this year – but that means plans for 2025–26 now look relatively less generous.
31 January 2025
How should governments help households during an energy crisis?
The government spent billions on support to help households with their energy bills in 2022–23. Could a better-designed package have saved money?
31 January 2025
Initial response to the Scottish Government’s 2024–25 Spring Budget Revision
How will the latest plans for spending in 2024–25 boost the amount that the Scottish Government has to spend next year and beyond?
30 January 2025
The UK’s near-record government revenues are not uncommon internationally
How do changes in UK government revenues over time compare with what has been seen in other advanced countries?
27 January 2025
In just over 15 months’ time, the state pension age starts rising again
It is now 66 for both men and women. Between April 2026 and March 2028 it will rise to 67.
24 January 2025
Response to ‘The Financing of the Scottish Government’ Inquiry by the Scottish Affairs Committee
This response to a UK parliamentary inquiry assesses how the Scottish Government is funded, including via the Barnett formula and Fiscal Framework.
23 January 2025
What is this government’s ‘theory of growth’? Nobody knows
"Shifting the performance of an entire economy requires a long-term, consistent and persistent direction." Paul Johnson writes for the Times.
20 January 2025
Rachel Reeves’s new year predicament
Rising interest rates could put the government on track to miss its fiscal rules. What are the Chancellor’s options?
10 January 2025
Why 2025 is a critical year for FE funding
Our latest report on education spending in England shows how further education has faced some of the deepest funding cuts across the education system.
9 January 2025
Rising interest rates erode razor-thin margin against fiscal targets
If a recent rise in borrowing costs proved persistent, it will make it even harder for the Chancellor to continue to meet her main fiscal rule.
9 January 2025
Social care is the nightmare that won’t go away
A government with a big majority should have had the political will to do more than just set up another review.
6 January 2025
The 2025–26 English Local Government Finance Settlement explained
English councils’ core spending power set to increase 3.8% in real terms next year, but increases will vary hugely across the country.
18 December 2024
The government’s 80% employment rate target: lessons from history and abroad
How can the UK achieve an 80% employment rate? What lessons can we learn from history and other countries?
12 December 2024
Childcare funding rates largely protected in real terms - with a big uplift for disadvantage premium
2025/26 childcare funding rates offer real-terms protection for the early years budget, with a boost to the funding top-up for disadvantaged children
11 December 2024
Strong language, Sir Keir. Now back up your housing pledge with action
The prime minister’s rhetoric on housebuilding is welcome, but it won’t be enough without a complete overhaul of the planning system.
9 December 2024