What's the future of corporation tax? podcast<p><span style="color:black;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;">Corporation tax was introduced 60 years ago. Despite many predictions of its decline, it is now forecast to raise record amounts. </span></p>10 April 2025
Spring Statement 2025: IFS Zooms In podcast<p style="-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;background-color:rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing:border-box;color:rgb(13, 13, 13);counter-reset:list-1 0 list-2 0 list-3 0 list-4 0 list-5 0 list-6 0 list-7 0 list-8 0 list-9 0;cursor:text;font-family:Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:13px;font-style:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;margin:0px;orphans:2;padding:0px;text-align:left;text-decoration-color:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;white-space:pre-wrap;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;"> What were the decisions and trade-offs made by Chancellor Reeves?</p>27 March 2025
The Schools Bill: what's changing and why? podcast<p class="p1">The bill aims to improve education and social care for children. But will it work?</p>11 March 2025
IFS Annual Lecture: Trade Wars and the Future of Globalisation conference 20 May 2025 <p>Professor Meredith Crowley will deliver the 2025 <span style="-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;background-color:rgb(255, 255, 255);color:rgb(37, 61, 64);display:inline !important;float:none;font-family:"DM Serif Text", serif;font-size:20px;font-style:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-align:start;text-decoration-color:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;white-space:normal;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;">IFS Annual Lecture. </span></p>
From Sure Start to Family Hubs: how can evidence best inform policymaking for joined up family support in the early years? conference 22 May 2025 <p>This event will explore the evidence and policy landscape around early years family support. It will also mark the launch of a new report from IFS.</p>
Jobs landing page<p>At IFS, we recruit and train top-quality economists and professional support staff. We aim to foster a respectful and inclusive working environment.</p>20 July 2022
Centre for the Microeconomic Analysis of Public Policy The Research Centre at the heart of IFS is the CPP.
Firm quality and health maintenance Working PaperWe estimate the impact of firm quality – primarily measured by firm productivity – on the health maintenance of employees.18 December 2024
Individual welfare analysis: Random quasilinear utility, independence and confidence bounds Working PaperWe introduce a novel framework for individual-level welfare analysis.13 December 2024
Inference for parameters identified by conditional moment restrictions using a generalized Bierens maximum statistic Working PaperBuilding on Bierens (1990), we propose penalized maximum statistics and combine bootstrap inference with model selection.13 December 2024
Policy choice in time series by empirical welfare maximization Working PaperThis paper develops a novel method for policy choice in a dynamic setting where the available data is a multi-variate time series.13 December 2024
Robust estimation and inference in panels with interactive fixed effects Working PaperWe consider estimation and inference for a regression coefficient in panels with interactive fixed effects (i.e., with a factor structure).13 December 2024
Treatment effects with targeting instruments Working PaperMultivalued treatment is commonplace in applications. We explore the use of discrete-valued instruments to control for selection bias in this setting.12 December 2024
Learning the effect of persuasion via difference-in-differences Working PaperThe persuasion rate is a key parameter for measuring the causal effect of a directional message on influencing the recipient’s behavior.12 December 2024
Spillovers in criminal networks: Evidence from co-offender deaths Working PaperWe study spillover effects within criminal networks by leveraging the deaths of co-offenders as a source of causal identification.6 December 2024
Changes in marital sorting: theory and evidence from the US Working PaperMeasuring how assortative matching differs between two economies is difficult, we show how the use of different measures can create different outcomes27 November 2024
Perceived shocks and impulse responses Working PaperWe develop a novel approach that leverages the information contained in expectations datasets to derive measures of beliefs regarding economic shocks.25 November 2024
Resource windfalls, public expenditures and local economies Working PaperWe show that the redistribution of natural resource tax revenues to non-extractive municipalities stimulates economic activity in local economies.18 November 2024
The effects of youth clubs on education and crime Working PaperUsing quasi-experimental variation from austerity-related cuts, I provide the first causal estimates of youth clubs' effects on education and crime.12 November 2024
Household responses to trade shocks Working PaperWe study the impact of Chinese import competition in the 2000s on workers and their households in England and Wales.12 November 2024
Public insurance and marital outcomes: Evidence from the Affordable Care Act's Medicaid expansions Working PaperWe find that an increased likelihood of Medicaid eligibility reduces marriage rates, particularly among people with higher education levels.8 November 2024
Schooled by trade? Retraining and import competition Working PaperWe study the interaction of retraining and international trade in Germany, a highly open economy with extensive state-subsidized retraining programs.28 October 2024
Wage effects of means-tested transfers: Incidence implications of using firms as intermediaries Working PaperWe show that how countries disburse tax credits matters for economic incidence by exploiting reform to the disbursement of child benefits in Argentina22 October 2024
Robust inference for the Frisch labor supply Working PaperThe Frisch labor supply elasticity plays a key role in many economic policy debates, but its magnitude remains controversial.21 October 2024
Health shocks, health insurance, human capital, and the dynamics of earnings and health Working PaperWe specify and calibrate a life-cycle model of labor supply and savings incorporating health shocks and medical treatment decisions.21 October 2024
Tax preferences and housing affordability: Exploration using a life-cycle model Working PaperWe present a dynamic life-cycle model of demand for housing, including owner occupied housing, investment property and liquid assets.21 October 2024
The effect of tax incentives on retirement saving Working PaperThis paper estimates the responsiveness of retirement saving to tax incentives for employees in Great Britain. 15 October 2024