Collection

All the analysis from our IFS Green Budget 2024, funded by the Nuffield Foundation and in partnership with Citi.
Published analysis

Green Budget 2024: Full report
The new Chancellor faces a difficult fiscal inheritance. Her choices on tax and spending at this first Budget could define the rest of the parliament.
10 October 2024

What options does Rachel Reeves have for the Budget?
We explore the options the Chancellor has in the forthcoming Budget.
16 October 2024

Options for the 2024 Spending Review and beyond
We examine the challenges facing public services and the Chancellor’s public spending options at the forthcoming Budget and Spending Reviews.
10 October 2024

Adult social care in England: what next?
We set out the major challenges facing the adult social care system in England and explore potential future developments for the sector.
10 October 2024

The outlook for the public finances in the new parliament
We describe the fiscal outlook and set out the unenviable but important choices – which could define the parliament – confronting Rachel Reeves.
10 October 2024

UK economic outlook: navigating the endgame
Growth has been better than expected this year, but the UK’s recovery is not yet secure. Structural changes will require reform, not just investment.
10 October 2024

Capital gains tax reform
Should the government raise capital gains tax in the Budget? What is the case for reforming capital gains tax? What are the options for reform?
6 October 2024

How to reduce child poverty: compare the policy options
Use these charts to compare policies for reducing child poverty and to examine how child poverty rates have changed over time across different groups.
3 October 2024

Child poverty: trends and policy options
Relative child poverty has increased. Which children are most likely to be affected? What policies would most effectively reduce child poverty?
3 October 2024

Pressures on public sector pay
Over a fifth of government spending goes on pay. We examine recruitment and retention challenges which mean that pressures could mount going forward.
27 September 2024

Fiscal rules and investment in the upcoming Budget
The government is reportedly considering a change to the debt rule to allow for more borrowing for investment. We consider some of the options.
27 September 2024

Options for increasing taxes
21 September 2024

Home Office budgeting and asylum overspends
29 August 2024

Definitions of debt and the new government’s fiscal rules
The new government has an ‘ironclad’ commitment to reduce government debt. It matters which definition of debt is used for the fiscal rule.
7 August 2024
Events

IFS Green Budget 2024
The IFS Green Budget assessed the state of the UK economy and the new government’s fiscal position ahead of their first Budget.

Should the government increase capital gains tax?
This online event looked at the case for reforming capital gains tax and what the government could do in the upcoming budget.

How can the new government reduce child poverty?
This online event looked at recent trends in child poverty and what policy options the government has to reduce it.

Where next for public sector pay?
Collection details
- Publisher
- Institute for Fiscal Studies
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27 April 2026

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9 January 2026

Economic outlook: navigating narrow paths
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16 October 2025
Academic research

Who benefits from food tax exemptions in lower-income settings?
This paper studies the unanticipated removal of consumption taxes on selected food items in Papua New Guinea.
22 September 2026

Discretion versus algorithms: bureaucrats, tax equity and acceptability
We study how replacing bureaucrats’ discretion with algorithmic assessment affects the accuracy, equity, and public acceptance of tax decisions.
11 May 2026

Who is helped by Help to Buy schemes?
Demand-side policies which relax borrowing constraints for homebuyers, with the aim of increasing homeownership, are increasingly common.
15 April 2026