How important is the OBR forecast? podcast<p>The OBR forecast will underpin the Chancellor’s decisions at the next Spring Forecast.</p>12 February 2025
Do tariffs work? podcast<p>We discuss the economic consequences of tariffs, why governments use them, and whether they actually achieve their intended goals.</p>23 January 2025
How can we make government more productive? podcast<div class="flex-shrink-0 flex flex-col relative items-end"><div><div class="pt-0"><div class="gizmo-bot-avatar flex h-8 w-8 items-center justify-center overflow-hidden rounded-full"><div class="relative p-1 rounded-sm flex items-center justify-center bg-token-main-surface-primary text-token-text-primary h-8 w-8"><svg class="icon-md" width="41" height="41" viewBox="0 0 41 41" fill="none" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" role="img"><text x="-9999" y="-9999"></text><path d="M37.5324 16.8707C37.9808 15.5241 38.1363 14.0974 37.9886 12.6859C37.8409 11.2744 37.3934 9.91076 36.676 8.68622C35.6126 6.83404 33.9882 5.3676 32.0373 4.4985C30.0864 3.62941 27.9098 3.40259 25.8215 3.85078C24.8796 2.7893 23.7219 1.94125 22.4257 1.36341C21.1295 0.785575 19.7249 0.491269 18.3058 0.500197C16.1708 0.495044 14.0893 1.16803 12.3614 2.42214C10.6335 3.67624 9.34853 5.44666 8.6917 7.47815C7.30085 7.76286 5.98686 8.3414 4.8377 9.17505C3.68854 10.0087 2.73073 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12.1667 35.5464 13.6095 35.3055 15.0128ZM14.2424 21.9419L10.8752 19.9981C10.8576 19.9893 10.8423 19.9763 10.8309 19.9602C10.8195 19.9441 10.8122 19.9254 10.8098 19.9058V10.6071C10.8107 9.18295 11.2173 7.78848 11.9819 6.58696C12.7466 5.38544 13.8377 4.42659 15.1275 3.82264C16.4173 3.21869 17.8524 2.99464 19.2649 3.1767C20.6775 3.35876 22.0089 3.93941 23.1034 4.85067C23.0427 4.88379 22.937 4.94215 22.8668 4.98473L14.9024 9.58517C14.7025 9.69878 14.5366 9.86356 14.4215 10.0626C14.3065 10.2616 14.2466 10.4877 14.2479 10.7175L14.2424 21.9419ZM16.071 17.9991L20.4018 15.4978L24.7325 17.9975V22.9985L20.4018 25.4983L16.071 22.9985V17.9991Z" fill="currentColor"></path></svg></div></div></div></div></div><div class="group/conversation-turn relative flex w-full min-w-0 flex-col agent-turn"><div class="flex-col gap-1 md:gap-3"><div class="flex max-w-full flex-col flex-grow"><div class="min-h-8 text-message flex w-full flex-col items-end gap-2 whitespace-normal break-words [.text-message+&]:mt-5" data-message-author-role="assistant" data-message-id="1583144b-b0e6-447e-84af-e4d9e5215ef5" dir="auto" data-message-model-slug="gpt-4o"><div class="flex w-full flex-col gap-1 empty:hidden first:pt-[3px]"><div class="markdown prose w-full break-words dark:prose-invert dark"><p>How can the public sector do more with less? We explore productivity trends, government reform and lessons from private sector innovation.</p></div></div></div></div></div></div>3 December 2024
Scottish Budget 2025-26: IFS analysis event 20 February 2025 <p>At this online event, IFS researchers will present their analysis of the Scottish Budget proposals and the wider Scottish tax and spending context.</p>
Did the Education Maintenance Allowance improve outcomes? event 26 February 2025 <p>At this online event IFS researchers will present findings on the effect of the rollout of the Education Maintenance Allowance in England.</p>
IFS residential conference 2025: How do we build a business tax system for the 21st century? conference 3 April 2025 <p>This conference, in association with <a href="https://www.deloitte.co.uk">Deloitte</a>, will discuss the UK business tax system in the context of the new Corporate Tax Roadmap.</p>
Jobs landing page<p>At IFS, we recruit and train top-quality economists and professional support staff. We aim to foster a respectful and inclusive working environment.</p>20 July 2022
Centre for the Microeconomic Analysis of Public Policy The Research Centre at the heart of IFS is the CPP.
Scottish school spending, teachers and pupil numbers Report Scotland’s schools are relatively well funded. Falling pupil rolls and workforce planning represent both challenges and opportunities going forwards. 14 February 2025
How important is the OBR forecast? Podcast The OBR forecast will underpin the Chancellor’s decisions at the next Spring Forecast. 12 February 2025
Change in justice day-to-day spending and overall departmental day-to-day spending, in real terms, since 2002–03 Data Item The Ministry of Justice budget is set to be no higher in real terms than the equivalent budget in 2002–03. 11 February 2025
Real-terms Ministry of Justice resource (day-to-day) spending, 2002–03 to 2025–26 Data Item Day-to-day justice spending in 2025–26 is set to be no higher than it was 23 years earlier, and around 16% lower in per-person terms. 11 February 2025
Change in selected departmental day-to-day budgets since 2007–08 Data Item The Ministry of Justice day-to-day budget has fared particularly poorly since 2007–08 compared to other departments. 11 February 2025
Planned average annual real-terms growth in the day-to-day justice budget and overall day-to-day public service spending, by Spending Review Data Item At each Spending Review between 1998 and 2015, the justice budget faced either slower rates of growth or greater cuts than other departments. 11 February 2025
Change in justice capital spending and overall departmental capital spending, in real terms, since 2002–03 Data Item Capital spending on justice was cut back severely in the 2010s, but has since increased very rapidly. 11 February 2025
Change in selected departmental capital budgets since 2007–08 Data Item The Ministry of Justice saw the biggest cuts to its capital budget over the 2010s, but then has seen the largest relative increases since. 11 February 2025
Cumulative capital spending by selected departments, 2007–08 to 2025–26, relative to counterfactual of spending remaining constant at the 2007–08 real-terms level Data Item The cumulative amount of investment in the justice system has been less than if the Ministry of Justice had fared as well as the average department. 11 February 2025
MoJ budget as a per cent of total departmental spending, and total departmental spending excluding health Data Item The Ministry of Justice's share of non-health departmental spending has fallen from around 4.5% in the early 2000s to around 3.5% today. 11 February 2025
Components of the MoJ resource (day-to-day) budget, 2023–24 Data Item HM Prison and Probation Service, HM Courts and Tribunals Service and the Legal Aid Agency were 86% of the department’s day-to-day spending in 2023–24. 11 February 2025
Real-terms changes in major components of MoJ RDEL since 2007–08 Data Item Overall Ministry of Justice RDEL fell by 13.9% in real terms between 2007–08 and 2023–24, with spending on legal aid cut back especially sharply. 11 February 2025
Composition of the MoJ resource budget, 2007–08 to 2023–24 Data Item The composition of the Ministry of Justice resource budget has been broadly stable over time, with some modest changes. 11 February 2025
Components of the MoJ capital budget, 2023–24 Data Item Around two-thirds of Ministry of Justice's capital spending was via HMPPS in 2023–24. 11 February 2025
Real-terms changes in major components of MoJ CDEL since 2007–08 Data Item Capital spending on HMPPS and HMCTS fell almost to zero in the early 2010s, and only began to meaningfully increase in the late 2010s. 11 February 2025
Change in different measures of real-terms day-to-day justice spending since 2007–08 Data Item Different measures of real-terms day-to-day justice spending for the period since 2007–08 differ somewhat, but have the same broad picture. 11 February 2025
Justice spending in England and Wales Report We present the first consistent estimates of what has happened to Ministry of Justice funding since the early 2000s and put these changes in context. 11 February 2025
Response to the final English local government finance settlement Comment 2025–26 will continue the substantial above-inflation increases in funding for English councils, but their costs have also been outpacing inflation. 4 February 2025
How can Labour be pro-growth on Heathrow but not North Sea oil? Comment Confusion is built into our approach to net zero. We need to be more pragmatic about whether emissions will genuinely be new. 3 February 2025
Scottish Government boosts NHS spending – and holds £350 million in reserve Comment In-year top-ups mean big increases in Scottish NHS spending this year – but that means plans for 2025–26 now look relatively less generous. 31 January 2025