Trade Wars: The end of globalisation? podcast<p>Rising tariffs and trade wars are reshaping global trade. Is this the end of globalisation—and what does it mean for the UK and the world economy?</p>4 June 2025
Why is the government reforming health-related benefits? podcast<p>We discuss the government's welfare reforms aimed at helping sick and disabled people into work, and what the changes mean for health-related benefits</p>14 May 2025
What's the future of corporation tax? podcast<p><span style="color:black;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;">Corporation tax was introduced 60 years ago. Despite many predictions of its decline, it is now forecast to raise record amounts. </span></p>10 April 2025
Spending Review 2025: IFS analysis event 12 June 2025 <p>At this online event, <span class="TextRun SCXW147924733 BCX8 NormalTextRun" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color:transparent;-webkit-user-drag:none;font-family:Aptos, Aptos_EmbeddedFont, Aptos_MSFontService, sans-serif;font-size:12pt;font-variant-ligatures:none !important;line-height:20.85px;margin:0px;padding:0px;user-select:text;" lang="EN-US" data-contrast="auto" xml:lang="EN-US">IFS researchers presented their overnight analysis of the Spending Review.</span></p>
CIOT/IFS Debate: What next for international tax co-operation? event 16 June 2025 <p>At this online event <span style="-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;background-color:rgb(255, 255, 255);color:rgb(0, 0, 0);display:inline !important;float:none;font-family:"Open Sans", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:16px;font-style:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-align:left;text-decoration-color:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;white-space:normal;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;">an expert panel will debate the future of international tax co-operation.</span></p>
Scaling early childhood development programmes and policies in low- and middle-income countries conference 24 June 2025 <p><span data-teams="true">Thrive, on behalf of IFS and OPM, is hosting a two-day international interdisciplinary conference.</span></p>
Jobs landing page<p>At IFS, we recruit and train top-quality economists and professional support staff. We aim to foster a respectful and inclusive working environment.</p>20 July 2022
Centre for the Microeconomic Analysis of Public Policy The Research Centre at the heart of IFS is the CPP.
NHS funding in the 2025 Spending Review explained Explainer Will the government announce more spending on the NHS in the Spending Review? Senior IFS Research Economist Max Warner explains here in 60 seconds. 10 June 2025
If the NHS is treated well, other services will feel the squeeze Comment Rachel Reeves is to allocate between competing priorities with her spending review, and a 2.5 per cent rise for health could mean cuts elsewhere 9 June 2025
Future challenges for health and social care provision in the UK Journal article Oxford Review of Economic Policy We consider recent trends in health and social care productivity and the scope for future improvements. 6 June 2025
Four big decisions for the 2025 Spending Review Comment Spending Review 2025 will set detailed departmental budgets for most of this parliament. We examine the key choices facing the government. 1 June 2025
The relationship between NHS waiting lists and health-related benefit claims Report Have increases in NHS waiting lists and waiting times contributed to the growing number of people claiming working-age health-related benefits? 2 May 2025
Can the government achieve its 18-week elective waiting time target? Report Simulation modelling of NHS elective waiting times in England shows that the government’s 18-week target is unlikely to be met in this parliament. 20 March 2025
Percentage of patients waiting less than 18 weeks for elective treatment in England Data Item Performance against the NHS' 18-week waiting times target has since deteriorated gradually before a sharp fall during the pandemic. 20 March 2025
Number of patients on the elective waiting list and percentage waiting less than 18 weeks, 2007–24 Data Item 18-week performance has remained around 60% since 2022, despite the list size varying between 6.1 million and 7.8 million during this time. 20 March 2025
Simulated list size and performance against the 18-week target under a variety of treatment growth rate assumptions Data Item Although performance improves in each case, in none of our scenarios does performance reach the 92% target by the end of the parliament. 20 March 2025
Simulated list size and performance against the 18-week target under medium (3.5%) treatment growth rates Data Item In none of our scenarios with medium growth in treatment volumes is the NHS' 18-week target achieved by the end of the parliament. 20 March 2025
The NHS may have to prioritise the less sick to recover elective performance Comment Modelling of NHS waiting times shows increased activity, demand reduction, and patient prioritisation needed to meet the 18-week waiting time target. 20 March 2025
Multitasking, two-part contracts, and bunching: an application to doctors' tasks Working Paper The optimal design of incentive contracts critically depends on whether the tasks performed by agents are complementary or substitutable. 24 February 2025
NHS recovery in Scotland is lagging behind England’s Comment How is the NHS in Scotland performing, and what does this mean for the Scottish Budget? 27 November 2024
NHS hospital productivity: some positive news Comment After a post-pandemic fall-off, NHS hospital productivity has increased over the last year, with hospital activity growing faster than staffing. 12 November 2024
Pressures on public sector pay Report Over a fifth of government spending goes on pay. We examine recruitment and retention challenges which mean that pressures could mount going forward. 27 September 2024
Can the new government fix the NHS? Podcast We look at the key challenges facing the NHS, and what the new government could do to tackle them. 14 August 2024
How should we interpret parties’ public spending pledges this election? Comment Parties have pledged lots of ‘fully costed’ spending policies but these tell us little about the actual funding each public service might receive. 23 June 2024
The Labour manifesto Explainer IFS Director Paul Johnson responds to the Labour manifesto. 13 June 2024
Liberal Democrat manifesto: a reaction Comment An assessment of the tax rises and spending increases proposed in the 2024 Liberal Democrat general election manifesto. 10 June 2024
What does the future of the NHS waiting list look like? Explainer Research Economist Max Warner explains. 4 June 2024