Trade Wars: The end of globalisation? podcast<p>Rising tariffs and trade wars are reshaping global trade. Is this the end of globalisation—and what does it mean for the UK and the world economy?</p>4 June 2025
Why is the government reforming health-related benefits? podcast<p>We discuss the government's welfare reforms aimed at helping sick and disabled people into work, and what the changes mean for health-related benefits</p>14 May 2025
What's the future of corporation tax? podcast<p><span style="color:black;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;">Corporation tax was introduced 60 years ago. Despite many predictions of its decline, it is now forecast to raise record amounts. </span></p>10 April 2025
CIOT/IFS Debate: What next for international tax co-operation? event 16 June 2025 <p>At this online event <span style="-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;background-color:rgb(255, 255, 255);color:rgb(0, 0, 0);display:inline !important;float:none;font-family:"Open Sans", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:16px;font-style:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-align:left;text-decoration-color:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;white-space:normal;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;">an expert panel will debate the future of international tax co-operation.</span></p>
Scaling early childhood development programmes and policies in low- and middle-income countries conference 24 June 2025 <p><span data-teams="true">Thrive, on behalf of IFS and OPM, is hosting a two-day international interdisciplinary conference.</span></p>
IFS Deaton Review: Inequalities in the 21st Century special session at the RES 2025 Annual Conference announcement<p>This year's RES Conference features a special session on the IFS Deaton Review of Inequalities with key IFS contributors to the review.</p>16 June 2025
Jobs landing page<p>At IFS, we recruit and train top-quality economists and professional support staff. We aim to foster a respectful and inclusive working environment.</p>20 July 2022
Centre for the Microeconomic Analysis of Public Policy The Research Centre at the heart of IFS is the CPP.
Future challenges for health and social care provision in the UK Journal article Oxford Review of Economic Policy We consider recent trends in health and social care productivity and the scope for future improvements. 6 June 2025
Four big decisions for the 2025 Spending Review Comment Spending Review 2025 will set detailed departmental budgets for most of this parliament. We examine the key choices facing the government. 1 June 2025
Is there a public sector earnings premium in UK healthcare? Journal article Fiscal Studies Using the Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings, we provide the first estimates of intra-occupation sectoral hourly remuneration differentials. 6 May 2025
The relationship between NHS waiting lists and health-related benefit claims Report Have increases in NHS waiting lists and waiting times contributed to the growing number of people claiming working-age health-related benefits? 2 May 2025
The menopause "penalty" Working Paper We show that a menopause diagnosis leads to lasting drops in earnings and employment, alongside greater reliance on social transfers. 21 March 2025
Percentage of patients waiting less than 18 weeks for elective treatment in England Data Item Performance against the NHS' 18-week waiting times target has since deteriorated gradually before a sharp fall during the pandemic. 20 March 2025
Number of patients on the elective waiting list and percentage waiting less than 18 weeks, 2007–24 Data Item 18-week performance has remained around 60% since 2022, despite the list size varying between 6.1 million and 7.8 million during this time. 20 March 2025
Simulated list size and performance against the 18-week target under a variety of treatment growth rate assumptions Data Item Although performance improves in each case, in none of our scenarios does performance reach the 92% target by the end of the parliament. 20 March 2025
Simulated list size and performance against the 18-week target under medium (3.5%) treatment growth rates Data Item In none of our scenarios with medium growth in treatment volumes is the NHS' 18-week target achieved by the end of the parliament. 20 March 2025
The NHS may have to prioritise the less sick to recover elective performance Comment Modelling of NHS waiting times shows increased activity, demand reduction, and patient prioritisation needed to meet the 18-week waiting time target. 20 March 2025
Can the government achieve its 18-week elective waiting time target? Report Simulation modelling of NHS elective waiting times in England shows that the government’s 18-week target is unlikely to be met in this parliament. 20 March 2025
Spending £200m on the Covid inquiry is symbolic of Britain’s failure Comment We borrowed and spent more than other countries to respond to the pandemic and the sharp rise in energy prices two years later. 17 February 2025
NHS recovery in Scotland is lagging behind England’s Comment How is the NHS in Scotland performing, and what does this mean for the Scottish Budget? 27 November 2024
NHS hospital productivity: some positive news Comment After a post-pandemic fall-off, NHS hospital productivity has increased over the last year, with hospital activity growing faster than staffing. 12 November 2024
Public insurance and marital outcomes: Evidence from the Affordable Care Act's Medicaid expansions Working Paper We find that an increased likelihood of Medicaid eligibility reduces marriage rates, particularly among people with higher education levels. 8 November 2024
Health shocks, health insurance, human capital, and the dynamics of earnings and health Working Paper We specify and calibrate a life-cycle model of labor supply and savings incorporating health shocks and medical treatment decisions. 21 October 2024
Can the new government fix the NHS? Podcast We look at the key challenges facing the NHS, and what the new government could do to tackle them. 14 August 2024
Health and social care budget in England under Conservative and Labour proposals with a range of potential spending baselines Data Item Health and social care budget in England under Conservative and Labour proposals with a range of potential spending baselines 23 June 2024
How should we interpret parties’ public spending pledges this election? Comment Parties have pledged lots of ‘fully costed’ spending policies but these tell us little about the actual funding each public service might receive. 23 June 2024
Government spending on health, education, and defence as shares of GDP, between 1955–56 and 2022–23 Data Item Government spending on health, education, and defence as shares of GDP, between 1955–56 and 2022–23 9 June 2024