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'It is an abiding failure of our system of governance that, with an average tenure of less than two years, secretaries of state barely have time to understand the problems, let alone put in place lasting and effective reform.' Paul Johnson on education reform in The Times.
29 March 2021
26 March 2021
We investigate differences in the returns to undergraduate degrees by socio-economic background and ethnicity using the Department for Education’s Longitudinal Education Outcomes (LEO) data set.
26 March 2021
Today, the Department for Work and Pensions released the latest official statistics on household incomes, poverty, and income inequality. This observation looks at the key findings from those statistics.
25 March 2021
Presented "The Liquidity Sensitivity of Healthcare Consumption: Evidence from Social Security Payments" at Johannes Kepler University Linz.
24 March 2021
24 March 2021
We propose a new specification test for assessing the validity of fuzzy regression discontinuity designs (FRD-validity).
23 March 2021
23 March 2021
23 March 2021
This report seeks to set out the potential effects of the Covid-19 pandemic on inequalities in the UK. The pandemic has affected inequalities in education, training, wages, employment and health, including how these vary by gender, ethnicity, and across generations.
23 March 2021
This paper first reviews some of the approaches that have been taken to estimate the common parameters of binary outcome models with fixed effects.
19 March 2021
19 March 2021
19 March 2021
The COVID-19 crisis has both created billions of pounds of new costs for and demands on councils’ budgets and has hit many of their sources of income. We find that across the sector as a whole, the government has largely addressed forecast pressures in 2020-21. However, financial pressures have been, and will continue to be, uneven across councils. As a result, underlying the aggregate picture, many councils still face at least some shortfall this year – particularly among shire districts.
19 March 2021
18 March 2021
17 March 2021
It’s easy enough to see the politics behind Rishi Sunak’s tax increase of choice. Opaque, in the future, jam today, well-hidden pain tomorrow. The scale of the increase, though, makes the economics more concerning. Not only is he unlikely to get as much revenue as he’s banking on, he risks reducing investment levels and hence wages and living standards over the long run.
15 March 2021
A commission to examine the possibility of giving Stormont more taxation powers is to be led by IFS Director Paul Johnson.
12 March 2021
12 March 2021
12 March 2021