IFS Green Budget 2017

1

The global economy

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1.1

Introduction

1.2

Global outlook

1.3

Risks to the global economy

1.4

Conclusion

2

The UK economic outlook

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2.1

Introduction

2.2

Short-term outlook

2.3

Medium-term outlook – subdued pace of growth in prospect

2.4

Comparison with other forecasts

2.5

Assessment of the risks

2.6

Conclusion

3

Challenges for the UK public finances

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3.1

Introduction

3.2

The big picture

3.3

Planned deficit reduction through this parliament

3.4

Medium-term risks

3.5

Conclusion

3.6

Postscript

4

ICAEW: public sector liabilities in the Whole of Government Accounts

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4.1

Introduction

4.2

The Whole of Government Accounts and total liabilities

4.3

Pension liabilities

4.4

Long-term liabilities, contingent liabilities and commitments

4.5

Conclusion

5

UK health and social care spending

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5.1

Introduction

5.2

UK public spending on health

5.3

Health spending in England

5.4

Social care spending in England

5.5

Long-run spending on health and social care

5.6

Conclusion

6

Working-age incapacity and disability benefits

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6.1

Introduction

6.2

Patterns of spending on incapacity and disability benefits

6.3

The structure of financial support: principles and practice

6.4

Incapacity benefit reform and the disability employment gap

6.5

Conclusion

7

Tax, legal form and the gig economy

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7.1

Introduction

7.2

Changes in work patterns

7.3

How are different legal forms taxed?

7.4

Should the self-employed and company owner-managers be taxed less heavily than employees?

7.5

How should tax policy be changed?

7.6

Conclusion

8

Reforms to apprenticeship funding in England

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8.1

Introduction

8.2

Evaluating the case for government intervention

8.3

Apprenticeships policy: past, present and future

8.4

Likely effects of the new system of apprenticeship funding

8.5

Conclusion

Appendix

9

ICAEW: debt

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9.1

Introduction

9.2

Debt

9.3

Funding over the next five years

9.4

Strategy and risks

9.5

Conclusion