Trade Wars: The end of globalisation? podcast<p>Rising tariffs and trade wars are reshaping global trade. Is this the end of globalisation—and what does it mean for the UK and the world economy?</p>4 June 2025
Why is the government reforming health-related benefits? podcast<p>We discuss the government's welfare reforms aimed at helping sick and disabled people into work, and what the changes mean for health-related benefits</p>14 May 2025
What's the future of corporation tax? podcast<p><span style="color:black;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;">Corporation tax was introduced 60 years ago. Despite many predictions of its decline, it is now forecast to raise record amounts. </span></p>10 April 2025
CIOT/IFS Debate: What next for international tax co-operation? event 16 June 2025 <p>At this online event <span style="-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;background-color:rgb(255, 255, 255);color:rgb(0, 0, 0);display:inline !important;float:none;font-family:"Open Sans", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:16px;font-style:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-align:left;text-decoration-color:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;white-space:normal;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;">an expert panel will debate the future of international tax co-operation.</span></p>
Scaling early childhood development programmes and policies in low- and middle-income countries conference 24 June 2025 <p><span data-teams="true">Thrive, on behalf of IFS and OPM, is hosting a two-day international interdisciplinary conference.</span></p>
IFS Deaton Review: Inequalities in the 21st Century special session at the RES 2025 Annual Conference announcement<p>This year's RES Conference features a special session on the IFS Deaton Review of Inequalities with key IFS contributors to the review.</p>16 June 2025
Jobs landing page<p>At IFS, we recruit and train top-quality economists and professional support staff. We aim to foster a respectful and inclusive working environment.</p>20 July 2022
Centre for the Microeconomic Analysis of Public Policy The Research Centre at the heart of IFS is the CPP.
Combined impact of minimum wage and tax increases may reduce opportunities for young people Comment Upcoming increases in the minimum wage and employer NICs could make it harder for young people entering the labour force. 1 April 2025
Enlisting consumers in tax enforcement: a policy review Comment This paper examines the rise of consumer incentives in tax enforcement and the conditions under which they can enhance compliance and raise revenue. 31 March 2025
Firm quality and health maintenance Working Paper We estimate the impact of firm quality – primarily measured by firm productivity – on the health maintenance of employees. 18 December 2024
UK economic outlook: navigating the endgame Report Growth has been better than expected this year, but the UK’s recovery is not yet secure. Structural changes will require reform, not just investment. 10 October 2024
Production function estimation using subjective expectations data Working Paper Implementing a range of production function estimators on UK data, we find our results are similar to or more credible than widely-used alternatives. 11 July 2024
How do the last five years measure up on levelling up? Report How well – or badly – has the UK fared on the 12 levelling up missions? We examine early progress and the scale of the challenge ahead. 19 June 2024
How has the NLW affected pay differentials within firms? Comment Some evidence on the effects of the National Living Wage on firms' wage structures. 16 February 2024
The role of privately held firms in income inequality Working Paper We study the role of privately held firms in income inequality in Finland, especially looking at the the role of retained earnings. 29 November 2023
The changing geography of jobs Report This report examines the way in which ‘hollowing out’ and other labour market trends have shaped the economic geography of the UK. 13 November 2023
Mafia infiltrations in times of crisis: Evidence from the Covid-19 shock Working Paper We analyse the risk of mafia capture of firms operating in the legal economy and the relationship between firm performance and mafia infiltration. 9 October 2023
Full expensing and the corporation tax base Report This report discusses the temporary full-expensing policy and whether it should be made a permanent part of the corporate tax base. 6 October 2023
Tax and public finances: the fundamentals Report This report highlights 10 key facts about UK tax and public finance policy that will underpin the choices faced by governments in coming decades. 23 August 2023
Firm concentration & job design: the case of schedule flexible work arrangements Working Paper We build a model of job design under monopsony to analyse the amenity value of job flexibility on offer across the wage and occupational distribution. 6 April 2023
Taking the biscuit: how Safari privacy policies affect online advertising Working Paper We analyse how much advertisers are willing to pay for third-party cookies and how tightening privacy policies affect market outcomes. 9 February 2023
Job ladder, human capital, and the cost of job loss Working Paper We propose a structural model of the labour market with heterogeneous firms, on-the-job search and accumulation of specific and general human capital. 13 December 2022
Firm heterogeneity and the impact of payroll taxes Working Paper We examine the heterogeneous impact of a large payroll tax cut for older workers in Hungary. 24 November 2022
If we can’t have lower corporate taxes, can they at least be stable? Comment "What is needed is a coherent plan for the future of corporation tax as part of a wider fiscal strategy." Paul Johnson writes for the Times. 7 November 2022
Firm consolidation and labor market outcomes Working Paper We study the consequences of firm consolidation for workers using rich administrative data from the Netherlands. 7 November 2022
Firms as tax collectors Working Paper We show that delegating tax collection to large firms can help build tax capacity in weak-enforcement settings. 31 October 2022
What drives wage stagnation: monopsony or monopoly? Working Paper Wages for the vast majority of workers have stagnated since the 1980s while productivity has grown. 26 September 2022