Downloads

CWP241818.pdf
PDF | 460.08 KB
We propose a new nonparametric test of stochastic monotonicity which adapts to the unknown smoothness of the conditional distribution of interest, possesses desirable asymptotic properties, is conceptually easy to implement, and computationally attractive. In particular, we show that the test asymptotically controls size at a polynomial rate, is non-conservative, and detects local alternatives that converge to the null with the fastest possible rate. Our test is based on a data-driven bandwidth value and the critical value for the test takes this randomness into account. Monte Carlo simulations indicate that the test performs well in finite samples. In particular, the simulations show that the test controls size and may be significantly more powerful than existing alternative procedures.
Authors

Research Associate LMU Munich
Daniel is a Research Associate of the IFS in Cemmap and Professor of Statistics and Econometrics at LMU Munich.

UCLA

Dongwoo Kim
Working Paper details
- DOI
- 10.1920/wp.cem.2018.2418
- Publisher
- The IFS
Suggested citation
D, Chetverikov and D, Kim and D, Wilhelm. (2018). An adaptive test of stochastic monotonicity. London: The IFS. Available at: https://ifs.org.uk/publications/adaptive-test-stochastic-monotonicity-0 (accessed: 29 April 2025).
More from IFS
Understand this issue

Gender norms, violence and adolescent girls’ trajectories: Evidence from India
24 October 2022

Drastic times need drastic action: breaking the 50-year tax taboo
Rachel Reeves should consider increasing the basic rate, just as Denis Healey did in 1975
14 April 2025

Average household consumption spending before and after housing costs, and mean weekly per-capita income, in different local authorities, 2018–2019
Londoners may have the highest average incomes, but their household spending once you account for housing costs is lower than other regions.
11 April 2025
Policy analysis

Which places have the highest standard of living?
Measuring living standards using average household spending gives a starkly different picture of regional inequalities than using average income.
11 April 2025

ABC of SV: Limited Information Likelihood Inference in Stochastic Volatility Jump-Diffusion Models
We develop novel methods for estimation and filtering of continuous-time models with stochastic volatility and jumps using so-called Approximate Bayesian Compu- tation which build likelihoods based on limited information.
12 August 2014

Assessing the economic benefits of education: reconciling microeconomic and macroeconomic approaches
This CAYT report discusses the strengths and limitations of several approaches to assessing the effect of education on productivity.
14 March 2013
Academic research

Prediction sets and conformal inference with censored outcomes
This paper provides estimation methods of such prediction sets given observed conditioning covariates when 𝑌 is censored or measured in intervals.
21 January 2025

Small area consumption estimates for local authorities in Great Britain
In this paper, we estimate average equivalised consumption measures across local authority districts in Great Britain.
11 April 2025

The impact of labour demand shocks when occupational labour supplies are heterogeneous
We develop a tractable equilibrium model of the labour market with heterogeneous labour supply elasticities by occupation and across occupation pairs.
8 April 2025