What's the future of corporation tax? podcast<p><span style="color:black;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;">Corporation tax was introduced 60 years ago. Despite many predictions of its decline, it is now forecast to raise record amounts. </span></p>10 April 2025
Spring Statement 2025: IFS Zooms In podcast<p style="-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;background-color:rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing:border-box;color:rgb(13, 13, 13);counter-reset:list-1 0 list-2 0 list-3 0 list-4 0 list-5 0 list-6 0 list-7 0 list-8 0 list-9 0;cursor:text;font-family:Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:13px;font-style:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;margin:0px;orphans:2;padding:0px;text-align:left;text-decoration-color:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;white-space:pre-wrap;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;"> What were the decisions and trade-offs made by Chancellor Reeves?</p>27 March 2025
The Schools Bill: what's changing and why? podcast<p class="p1">The bill aims to improve education and social care for children. But will it work?</p>11 March 2025
IFS Annual Lecture: Trade Wars and the Future of Globalisation conference 20 May 2025 <p>Professor Meredith Crowley will deliver the 2025 <span style="-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;background-color:rgb(255, 255, 255);color:rgb(37, 61, 64);display:inline !important;float:none;font-family:"DM Serif Text", serif;font-size:20px;font-style:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-align:start;text-decoration-color:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;white-space:normal;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;">IFS Annual Lecture. </span></p>
From Sure Start to Family Hubs: how can evidence best inform policymaking for joined up family support in the early years? conference 22 May 2025 <p>This event will explore the evidence and policy landscape around early years family support. It will also mark the launch of a new report from IFS.</p>
Jobs landing page<p>At IFS, we recruit and train top-quality economists and professional support staff. We aim to foster a respectful and inclusive working environment.</p>20 July 2022
Centre for the Microeconomic Analysis of Public Policy The Research Centre at the heart of IFS is the CPP.
Which places have the highest standard of living? Comment Measuring living standards using average household spending gives a starkly different picture of regional inequalities than using average income. 11 April 2025
Small area consumption estimates for local authorities in Great Britain Working Paper In this paper, we estimate average equivalised consumption measures across local authority districts in Great Britain. 11 April 2025
The impact of labour demand shocks when occupational labour supplies are heterogeneous Working Paper We develop a tractable equilibrium model of the labour market with heterogeneous labour supply elasticities by occupation and across occupation pairs. 8 April 2025
Prediction sets and conformal inference with censored outcomes Working Paper This paper provides estimation methods of such prediction sets given observed conditioning covariates when 𝑌 is censored or measured in intervals. 21 January 2025
Individual welfare analysis: Random quasilinear utility, independence and confidence bounds Working Paper We introduce a novel framework for individual-level welfare analysis. 13 December 2024
Inference for parameters identified by conditional moment restrictions using a generalized Bierens maximum statistic Working Paper Building on Bierens (1990), we propose penalized maximum statistics and combine bootstrap inference with model selection. 13 December 2024
Policy choice in time series by empirical welfare maximization Working Paper This paper develops a novel method for policy choice in a dynamic setting where the available data is a multi-variate time series. 13 December 2024
Robust estimation and inference in panels with interactive fixed effects Working Paper We consider estimation and inference for a regression coefficient in panels with interactive fixed effects (i.e., with a factor structure). 13 December 2024
Treatment effects with targeting instruments Working Paper Multivalued treatment is commonplace in applications. We explore the use of discrete-valued instruments to control for selection bias in this setting. 12 December 2024
Learning the effect of persuasion via difference-in-differences Working Paper The persuasion rate is a key parameter for measuring the causal effect of a directional message on influencing the recipient’s behavior. 12 December 2024
Changes in marital sorting: theory and evidence from the US Working Paper Measuring how assortative matching differs between two economies is difficult, we show how the use of different measures can create different outcomes 27 November 2024
Perceived shocks and impulse responses Working Paper We develop a novel approach that leverages the information contained in expectations datasets to derive measures of beliefs regarding economic shocks. 25 November 2024
Robust inference for the Frisch labor supply Working Paper The Frisch labor supply elasticity plays a key role in many economic policy debates, but its magnitude remains controversial. 21 October 2024
Hidden redistribution in lifetime earnings: the role of differential mortality Working Paper Life expectancy gaps between gender and income groups are large and generate notable implicit redistribution in lifetime earnings via pension systems. 9 October 2024
Identifying network ties from panel data: Theory and an application to tax competition Journal article The Review of Economic Studies Our identification and application show that the analysis of social interactions can be extended to economic realms where no network data exists. 9 September 2024
The gender gap in household bargaining power: a revealed-preference approach Journal article The Review of Financial Studies We propose an intrahousehold model that aggregates individual preferences at the household level as a result of bargaining. 22 August 2024
Focal pricing and pass-through Working Paper I show that the adoption and extent of focal pricing practices in an industry in general do not lower average pass-through of input cost changes. 21 August 2024
Estimating intra-household sharing from time-use data Working Paper Estimating intra-household sharing is crucial to understanding overall inequality. However, expenditure data is almost always at the household level. 19 July 2024
Production function estimation using subjective expectations data Working Paper Implementing a range of production function estimators on UK data, we find our results are similar to or more credible than widely-used alternatives. 11 July 2024
The impact of labour demand shocks when occupational labour supplies are heterogeneous Working Paper We study the heterogeneous impact of subsequent demand shifts on wages and employment in Germany. 28 June 2024