Access
We assess the impact of nationwide minimum wages on employment throughout the whole wage distribution by exploiting geographical variation in the level of wages. We find a substantial increase in wages at the bottom of the wage distribution, while we detect a small, statistically insignificant negative effect on employment. Combining the estimated change in the wage distribution with a tax and benefit microsimulation model, we show that the minimum wage generates considerable proportional income gains up to the middle of the household income distribution.
Authors
Research Fellow Bocconi University
Giulia, an Assistant Professor of Economics at Bocconi University, studies the employment and welfare effects of social insurance and minimum wages.
Robert Joyce
Research Fellow University College London
Attila is an IFS Research Fellow, an Associate Professor of Economics at the University College London and Adjust Professor at the University of Oslo.
Associate Director
Tom is an Associate Director at the IFS and Head of the Income, Work and Welfare sector.
Research Economist
Tom is a Research Economist in the Income, Work and Welfare sector, having joined the IFS in 2020.
Senior Research Economist
Xiaowei joined the IFS in 2018 and works in the Income, Work and Welfare sector.
Journal article details
- DOI
- 10.1086/728471
- Publisher
- University of Chicago Press
- ISSN
- 0734-306X
- Issue
- Volume 42, Issue S1, April 2024, pages 293-333
Suggested citation
Giupponi, G et al. (2024). 'The employment and distributional impacts of nationwide minimum wage changes' 42(S1/2024), pp.293–333.
More from IFS
Understand this issue
Do tariffs work?
We discuss the economic consequences of tariffs, why governments use them, and whether they actually achieve their intended goals.
23 January 2025
What is this government’s ‘theory of growth’? Nobody knows
"Shifting the performance of an entire economy requires a long-term, consistent and persistent direction." Paul Johnson writes for the Times.
20 January 2025
Share of apprenticeship budget spent on each apprenticeship level
The proportion of funding directed to higher-level apprenticeships (level 4 and above) has trebled between 2017–18 and 2021–22 from 13% to 39%.
16 January 2025
Policy analysis
Ethnic differences in private pension participation after automatic enrolment
What are the drivers of ethnic gaps in private pension participation rates and what consequences will these gaps have for future retirement incomes?
23 January 2025
Projecting options for 16–18 education spending per student after 2025, 2009–10 = 1
To maintain spending per student at 2025–26 levels, total funding would need to rise by almost £200 million in today's prices by the end of 2027–28.
16 January 2025
The distribution of deficits and surpluses across English colleges
Although there has been some improvement since 2017, 37% of colleges reported operating in deficit in 2022–23.
16 January 2025
Academic research
Persistent low inequality despite compositional shifts in Austria
Income inequality in Austria is moderate and has been stable in recent years. Yet, employment statistics reveal inequality trends in the labour market
2 October 2024
Did Belgium withstand the storm of rising inequalities? Income inequality in Belgium, 1985–2020
Belgium exhibits a rather constant level of income inequality over the last decades, contrary to Germany, the United States and some Nordic countries.
2 October 2024
What lies behind France's low level of income inequality?
We document the evolution of working-age individual pre-tax and disposable income inequality in France since the late 1960s using household surveys.
2 October 2024