The spread of COVID‐19 has led to sweeping changes in the way households work, spend their time and shop, resulting in different shopping patterns and rapid price changes in some goods. How will changes such as these be reflected in headline inflation measures such as the Consumer Prices Index (CPI)? This paper discusses problems in interpreting the CPI as a measure of how the cost of living is changing during the lockdown.
Authors
CPP Co-Director
Richard is Co-Director of the Centre for the Microeconomic Analysis of Public Policy (CPP) and Senior Research Fellow at IFS.
CPP Co-Director, IFS Research Director
Rachel is Research Director and Professor at the University of Manchester. She was made a Dame for services to economic policy and education in 2021.
Research Fellow University of Wisconsin
Martin, previously Deputy Research Director, is a Research Fellow at IFS and Professor of Economics at the University of Wisconsin.
Deputy Research Director
Peter joined in 2009. He has published several papers on the microeconomics of household spending and labour supply decisions over the life-cycle.
Journal article details
- DOI
- 10.1111/1475-5890.12229
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Issue
- Volume 41, Issue 2, June 2020, pages 357-361
Suggested citation
Blundell, R et al. (2020). 'Could COVID‐19 infect the Consumer Prices Index?' , 41(2/2020), pp.357–361.
More from IFS
Understand this issue
The economic stories that will shape 2024
5 January 2024
How to grow the economy
24 May 2024
'Pensioners deserve better than the triple lock'
13 December 2023
Policy analysis
Tax and public finances: the fundamentals
23 August 2023
Stubborn inflation puts PM's target in jeopardy
16 August 2023
Share of population facing PM2.5 levels above 10µg/m3 by ethnicity
In 2019, 50% of ethnic minorities were exposed to more than 10µg/m3 air pollution. By 2023, this number had fallen to close to zero.
6 December 2024
Academic research
Cheapflation and the rise of inflation inequality
14 August 2024
Very weak income growth for poor pensioners has meant rising pensioner poverty since 2011
19 July 2024
The impact of flexibility at work on fertility
11 June 2024