Collection

Autumn Statement 2016 analysis

Published on 16 November 2016

After each Autumn Statement, Budget and Spending Review, we publish analysis of the Chancellor's proposals and reforms.

On Wednesday 23 November Chancellor Phillip Hammond delivered his first Autumn Statement. We presented our analysis of the revised outlook for the public finances and the consequences of new tax and benefit changes at a briefing on the following day.

Download the slides from the briefing:

Opening remarks, Paul Johnson
In a Jam? Changes in the fiscal forecast, Thomas Pope
Fiscal rules [versions 13.0 to 15.0], Carl Emmerson
The outlook for living standards, Andrew Hood
Supplementary slides: Distributional analysis, Tom Waters
Tax and benefit reforms (slides in PDF), Stuart Adam

Paul Johnson interviewed on the BBC
IFS Director Paul Johnson on "A shake-up for the fiscal calendar" (The Times) and "An Economist view" (Financial Times)
You can listen to an interview with IFS Director Paul Johnson on BBC Radio 4 Today programme here (0:48 minutes in).

The latest analysis by IFS researchers on the outlook for the public finances (prior to revised OBR forecasts and the Autumn Statement) can be found here, and IFS Director Paul Johnson wrote an article in the Times on 15 November on the importance of flexibility for fiscal rules, which can be read on our website here. We will update our analysis on Thursday 24 November.

On 15 November, Paul Johnson gave a pre-Autumn Statement briefing hosted by the Parliamentary Office of Science and Technology and presentations have also been given to the BBC. Slides from these presentations can be found here.

Here is our latest analysis of the distribution of household income in the UK, published in July. We assess changes to average incomes, income inequality and poverty that occurred in the latest year of data (2014-15), and put these in historical context using comparable data spanning the last 50 years.