A crowded street

Working papers

Our IFS working paper series publishes academic papers by staff and IFS associates.

Working papers: all content

Showing 961 – 980 of 1819 results

Working paper graphic

Bond returns and market expectations

Working Paper

A well-documented empirical result is that market expectations extracted from futures contracts on the federal funds rate are among the best predictors for the future course of monetary policy. The authors show how this information can be exploited to produce accurate forecasts of bond excess returns and to construct profitable investment strategies in bond markets.

24 May 2013

Working paper graphic

Long memory via networking

Working Paper

This paper identifies an entirely different mechanism for long memmory generation by showing that it can naturally arise when a large number of simply linear homogenous economic subsystems with a short memory are interconnected to form a network such that the outputs of each of the subsystem are fed into the inputs of others.

2 April 2013