Tax form

Taxes and benefits

Our work analyses impacts on inequality, poverty, the public finances, and the behaviour of workers, firms and consumers, and considers how their design could be improved. Its focus ranges from the taxation of sugary drinks to revenue-raising measures in low and middle income countries to ongoing UK benefit reforms.

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Taxation of Private Pensions in the UK

Report

Private pension saving is a key component of retirement saving in the UK. The most recent data available shows that four-tenths of private household wealth is held in private pensions. Among those aged 55 to 64 nearly 73 percent had accumulated some private pension rights, with the median holding among those with some pension rights being £149,300 (Office for National Statistics 2015). This is partly explained by the fact that holding savings in pensions is, on average, tax favoured relative to other saving vehicles. The fact that large amounts are placed in private pensions also makes it important that the tax treatment of such savings is well-designed.

11 May 2016

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Sugary drinks tax: response from the Institute for Fiscal Studies

Comment

In their Correspondence (March 19, p 1162),1 Peter Scarborough and colleagues correctly quote us as saying that “the efficacy of [a sugary drinks tax] will depend on what products [consumers] switch to and how firms change their prices”, stating that we “based [our] conclusions on economic theory without reference to the evidence”. We agree that the magnitude of consumer response is an empirical question. Our Green Budget chapter2 neither supported nor opposed the proposed sugary drinks tax, but rather aimed to highlight some of the complexities surrounding such a tax and where the evidence base should be improved. We also do not dispute the unsurprising finding that consumption of sugary drinks fell in countries in which a sugary soft drinks tax had been introduced. We disagree, however, that concerns about substitution responses can be lightly dismissed.

7 May 2016

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Taxman to raise same proportion of national income as before crisis, but from different places

Comment

The Great Recession triggered the two largest annual falls in real government receipts since at least 1956. Yet, by the end of the decade, tax receipts as a share of national income are due to return to almost their pre-recession level. But, beneath this apparent stability in the overall tax take, there have been significant shifts in the composition of tax revenues.

26 April 2016

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The changing composition of UK tax revenues

Report

Between 2007–08 and 2009–10, total government receipts collapsed – they fell by over 9% in real terms and were 2% lower as a proportion of national income – largely as a result of the financial crisis and resulting recession. By the end of this decade, government receipts are forecast to be 37.2% of national income,2 a little lower than in 2007–08 (37.5%) but higher than in 2009–10 (35.8%) and 2015–16 (36.3%) and a little higher than the average level over the two decades before the recession (36.4%). On the face of it, these aggregate numbers imply that, by 2020–21, we will be more or less back where we started, raising around the same proportion of national income in revenue as just before the crisis. However, this masks considerable changes in the composition of receipts.

26 April 2016

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Taxing high-income earners: tax avoidance and mobility

Working Paper

The taxation of high-income earners is of importance to every country and is the subject of a considerable amount of recent academic research. Such high-income earners contribute substantial amounts of tax and generate signifi cant positive spillovers, but are also highly mobile: a 1% increase in the top marginal income tax rate increases out-migrations by around 1.5 to 3%. We review research into taxation of high-income earners to provide a synthesis of existing theoretical and empirical understanding. We o ffer various avenues for potential future theoretical and empirical research.

22 April 2016

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Changes in the Distribution of After-Tax Wealth in the US: Has Income Tax Policy Increased Wealth Inequality?

Journal article

A substantial share of the wealth of Americans is held in tax-deferred form such as in retirement accounts or as unrealised capital gains. Most data and statistics on assets and wealth are reported on a pre-tax basis, but pre-tax values include an implicit tax liability and may not provide as accurate a measure of the financial position or material well-being of families. In this paper, we describe the distribution of tax-deferred assets in the Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF) from 1989 to 2013, provide new estimates of the income tax liabilities implicit in those assets, and present new statistics on the level and distribution of after-tax net worth. The results of our analysis suggest that, relative to published statistics on pre-tax net worth, the distribution of after-tax wealth is slightly less concentrated in the early years of our sample period, but the effectiveness of the income tax system in reducing wealth inequality has decreased during the last decade. We find the reduction in the long-term capital gains rate is the primary reason for the muted effectiveness of the current income tax system in reducing wealth inequality.

31 March 2016

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The effect of UK welfare reforms on the distribution of income and work incentives

Book Chapter
Like many EU countries, the UK is implementing a fiscal consolidation package consisting chiefly of reductions in government expenditure in response to a large structural budget deficit. Reductions in welfare spending are a key component of this package. As well as reducing expenditure, the UK government hopes that its welfare reforms will encourage work. The largest structural reform planned is the introduction of a universal credit to combine six means-tested benefits for those of working age into a single payment. However, other benefit cuts and tax rises that form part of the fiscal consolidation package will also affect incomes and work incentives, and falling real wages over the period when these changes are being introduced will tend to make work less attractive as well as making workers worse off. In this paper we use micro-simulation techniques to investigate whether financial work incentives will be stronger in 2015–16 than they were in 2010–11 and to separate out the impact of tax changes, benefit cuts and the introduction of universal credit from the impact of wider economic changes.

29 March 2016

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Is the new soft drinks levy well designed?

Comment

In Budget 2016 the Chancellor announced a “soft drinks industry levy” due to take effect from April 2018. The charge will be levied on soft drinks that contain added sugar and is aimed at “help[ing] tackle childhood obesity.” It has followed calls from various bodies for intervention to reduce people’s sugar consumption. In a new IFS briefing note we examine the main sources of dietary sugar purchased by households and lay out some of the economic issues related to the introduction of a tax on sugar. We also consider the rationale behind government intervention of this sort.

24 March 2016

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Are we 'all in this together'?

Comment

There has been a lot of dispute in recent days over the extent to which “we have all been in this together” or government tax and benefit reforms have been “fair”. There are obviously many different ways of assessing this. In this observation we draw on recent IFS work to provide some assessment of what has happened to living standards across the distribution and what has been the direct effect on incomes of tax and benefit policy.

21 March 2016

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Business tax road map

Presentation

This presentation was given at the IFS post-Budget presentation on 17 March 2016.

17 March 2016

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Distributional analysis

Presentation

This presentation was prepared as additional material for the IFS post-Budget presentation on 17 March 2016.

17 March 2016

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The soft drinks levy

Presentation

This presentation was given at the IFS post-Budget presentation on 17 March 2016.

17 March 2016