Professor Áureo de Paula

We collect data on the subjective beliefs of married, adult women not wanting a pregnancy and estimate a structural model of contraceptive choices.

We demonstrate that poor air quality disproportionately impacts the human capital accumulation of economically disadvantaged children.

This paper investigates the intergenerational transmission of socio-emotional skills during childhood, using the 1970 British Cohort Study in the UK.

This paper provides estimation methods of such prediction sets given observed conditioning covariates when 𝑌 is censored or measured in intervals. 

Our identification and application show that the analysis of social interactions can be extended to economic realms where no network data exists.

Implementing a range of production function estimators on UK data, we find our results are similar to or more credible than widely-used alternatives.

This paper investigates the intergenerational transmission of socio-emotional skills during childhood, using the 1970 British Cohort Study in the UK.

We collect detailed data on women’s subjective probabilistic beliefs and estimate a structural model of contraceptive choices.

We study consumer spending dynamics during one such time, the first infection wave of the COVID-19 pandemic, using household scanner data covering fast-moving consumer goods in the United Kingdom.

This paper first reviews some of the approaches that have been taken to estimate the common parameters of binary outcome models with fixed effects.

We study testable implications of multiple equilibria in discrete games with incomplete information. Unlike de Paula and Tang (2012), we allow the players’ private signals to be correlated.

We study consumer spending dynamics during the first infection wave of the COVID-19 pandemic using household scanner data covering fast-moving consumer goods in the United Kingdom.

Nearly one-quarter of married, fertile-age women in Sub-Saharan Africa say that they want to avoid pregnancy but are not using contraceptives.

This article provides a selective review on the recent literature on econometric models of network formation.

This paper introduces measures for how each moment contributes to the precision of parameter estimates in GMM settings.