Dr Monica Costa Dias: all content

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    Working paper graphic

    Policy discontinuity and duration outcomes

    Working Paper

    A comparison of hazard rates of duration outcomes before and after policy changes is hampered by non-identification if there is unobserved heteogeneity in the effects and no model structure is imposed. We develop a discontinuity approach that overcomes this by exploiting variation in the moment at which different cohorts are exposed to the policy change, i.e. by considering spells crossing the policy change.

    2 October 2013

    Journal graphic

    Treatment Evaluation with Selective Participation and Ineligibles

    Journal article

    Matching methods for treatment evaluation based on a conditional independence assumption do not balance selective unobserved differences between treated and non-treated. We derive a simple correction term if there is an instrument that shifts the treatment probability to zero in special cases. Policies with eligibility restrictions, where treatment is impossible if some variable exceeds a certain value, provide a natural application. In an empirical analysis, we exploit the age eligibility restriction in the Swedish Youth Practice subsidized work program for young unemployed, where compliance is imperfect among the young. Adjusting the matching estimator for selectivity changes the results towards making subsidized work detrimental in moving individuals into employment.

    1 January 2013

    Working paper graphic

    Lifetime inequality and redistribution

    Working Paper

    In this paper we look at lifetime inequality to address two main questions: How well does a modern tax system, based on annual information, target lifetime inequality? What aspects of the tranfser system are most progressive from a lifetime perspective?

    31 October 2012

    Publication graphic

    Lifetime inequality and redistribution

    Report

    This paper looks at lifetime inequality to address two main questions: How well does a modern tax system, based on annual information, target lifetime inequality? and What aspects of the transfer system are most progressive from a lifetime perspective?

    16 October 2012

    Presentation graphic

    Microeconometric Policy Evaluation

    Presentation

    We review popular evaluation methods in policy analysis, showing the relationship between social experiments (randomised control trials), matching methods, instrumental variables, and control functions.

    This presentation was delivered as part of the PEPA contribution to the 2012 ESRC Research Methods Festival.

    5 July 2012