Alleyway in low or middle income country

International development

Our work on international development studies labour markets, infrastructure, health and education systems and public finances in low and middle income countries. We use field experiments, survey and administrative data and theory to examine the effects of policies on individuals and firms as well as on aggregate outcomes.

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2019/20 survey of the Ethiopian tax system

Report

In this report, we provide a detailed overview of Ethiopia’s current tax system and the evolution of tax revenue collections over the last 10 years. The report also highlights important changes to the structure of the tax system which have occurred over the past few years, and the associated tax revenue implications.

16 April 2021

If you want to make permanent cuts to the aid budget, be honest about it

Comment

It remains to be seen whether we will get back to spending 0.7 per cent of national income on overseas aid. My guess is that there are no serious plans to do so. If there are, then it is incumbent on government to tell us when and how that will happen and especially important to plan any big uplift carefully and well in advance.

12 April 2021

The UK’s reduction in aid spending

Report

In this briefing note, we review what this shift in policy means for overall aid spending, effective management of the aid budget, and the broader public finances.

12 April 2021

Presentation graphic

Evidence on how to improve WASH infrastructure in Nigeria

Presentation

This webinar, co-organised by the Federal Ministry of Water Resources (FMWR), Covenant University (Nigeria), The World Bank, Royal Holloway University of London (RHUL, UK), and IFS, aimed to provide a platform for a deep dive on relevant evidence and lessons learnt from Nigeria and elsewhere to inform the Clean Nigeria Campaign.

25 January 2021

Working paper graphic

Can white elephants kill? Unintended consequences of infrastructure development in Peru

Working Paper

In this paper, I study the effect of unfinished sewerage infrastructure on early-life mortality in Peru. I compile several sources of administrative panel data for 1,400 districts spanning 2005–2015, and I rely on the budgetary plans and timing of expenditure for 6,000 projects to measure unfinished projects and those completed in a given district.

28 September 2020

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The impact of COVID-19 on formal firms: evidence from Ethiopia

Report

The COVID-19 (coronavirus) pandemic and associated containment measures are expected to cause far-reaching damage to economies around the world. Firms are suffering from reduced demand due to movement restrictions, from reduced labour supply and from constraints to sourcing material inputs. The breakup of otherwise healthy businesses in response to a temporary shock implies large social costs. Governments are therefore intent on designing emergency policies to keep businesses afloat. In this brief, the authors present simulations using firm-level tax records from Ethiopia, which vary the duration of the lockdown and the relative impact across sectors.

14 September 2020

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The impact of COVID-19 on formal firms: evidence from Uganda

Report

The COVID-19 (coronavirus) pandemic and associated containment measures are expected to cause far-reaching damage to economies around the world. Firms are suffering from reduced demand due to movement restrictions, from reduced labor supply and from constraints to sourcing material inputs. The breakup of otherwise healthy businesses in response to a temporary shock implies large social costs. Governments are therefore intent on designing emergency policies to keep businesses afloat. In this brief, the authors present simulations using firm-level tax records from Uganda, which vary the duration of the lockdown and the relative impact across sectors.

14 September 2020