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Spending Review 2019

A collection of outputs related to the 2019 spending review

Chancellor ends austerity for public services – but risks breaching current fiscal rules

Press release by Rowena Crawford, Paul Johnson and Ben Zaranko - 04 Sep 2019

The Chancellor has announced an increase in spending on public services for next year. Day-to-day spending on public services will grow by 4.1%, or around £13.8 billion, between 2019−20 and 2020−21 in real terms. This represents of a top-up of £11.7 billion to the provisional spending plans Mr Javid inherited from his predecessor, alongside a £1.7 billion top up to existing capital spending plans for 2020−21, meaning that total spending will be £13.4 billion higher next year than was planned in the spring.

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Spending review 2019: Deal or no deal

Briefing note by Rowena Crawford, Paul Johnson and Ben Zaranko - 02 Sep 2019

This Wednesday, the Chancellor is set to announce departmental spending for the next financial year in his spending review. With pledges on schools, further education, the NHS, defence and overseas aid, day-to-day spending on these public services is already set to be at least £9 billion higher next year than this year. The Chancellor will need to find a way to fund an extra £5 billion of spending next year, relative to plans published at the Spring Statement, just to avoid cuts to other public services. Increasing spending on other priority areas would require even greater funding.

This briefing note sets out our analysis in advance of the spending review.

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Making popular spending decisions in a rush raises risk of costly errors

Newspaper article by Paul Johnson - 02 Sep 2019

The rest of the country may be getting a little worked up about the prorogation of parliament, but it’s another breach with precedent that is worrying me, getting only one week’s notice of the date of the spending review. It will happen on Wednesday, a date announced only last week.

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Government to take big spending decisions with little idea how sustainable they will prove

Press release by Rowena Crawford, Paul Johnson and Ben Zaranko - 02 Sep 2019

With pledges on schools, further education, the NHS, defence and overseas aid, day-to-day spending on these public services is already set to be at least £9 billion higher next year than this year.

The Chancellor will need to find a way to fund an extra £5 billion of spending next year, relative to plans published at the Spring Statement, just to avoid cuts to other public services. Increasing spending on other priority areas would require even greater funding.

Read more.