A crowded street

Research and analysis

Our findings are based on rigorous analysis, detailed empirical evidence and in-depth institutional knowledge.

Publications

Showing 1341 – 1360 of 9473 results

Working paper graphic

Inference on winners

Working Paper

Many empirical questions concern target parameters selected through optimization. For example, researchers may be interested in the effectiveness of the best policy found in a randomized trial, or the best-performing investment strategy based on historical data.

7 September 2020

Working paper graphic

Quantifying domestic violence in times of crisis

Working Paper

Recent contributions using police recorded calls-for-service and/or crime data to estimate impacts of COVID-19 lockdowns on the incidence of domestic violence (DV) have reported relatively modest effects.

2 September 2020

Journal graphic

Disentangling policy effects using proxy data: which shutdown policies affected unemployment during the COVID-19 pandemic?

Journal article

We analyze how shutdown policies affected unemployment during the COVID-19 pandemic. We use proxy data from Google Trends to disentangle the effects of six policies. State-level policies caused 12.4% of unemployment insurance claims early on. Restaurant limits and non-essential business closures had modest effects. Other policies (e.g. stay-at-home orders, school closures) had no additional effect.

1 September 2020

Article graphic

Coming of age: Labour’s Child Trust Funds

Comment

From today, the first 18-year-olds will be able to access Child Trust Funds (CTFs) set up over a decade ago by Tony Blair’s Labour government. When first announcing the policy, the government pointed to the fact that ‘people without assets are much more likely to have lower earnings and higher unemployment, and are less likely to start a business or enter higher education’. But how much difference might these accounts make to the finances of 18-year-olds?

31 August 2020

September return to school offers a chance to level the playing field

Comment

In this observation, we use data from an online survey of parents with school-aged children – funded by the Nuffield Foundation and collected during June and July 2020 – to document the patchwork of in-person schooling that children had before the summer. We also explore parents’ concerns about sending their children back to school at the end of the last term.

23 August 2020

Journal graphic

Frictions and taxpayer responses: evidence from bunching at personal tax thresholds

Journal article

This paper exploits kinks and notches in the UK personal tax schedule over a 40-year period to investigate how taxpayers respond to income tax and social security contributions. It also develops a new approach for identifying selection in who responds and for decomposing responses into hours and wage components.

20 August 2020