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We pair variation stemming from volcanic eruptions with the census of Hawai‘i’s public schools student test scores to estimate the impact of PM2.5 and SO2 on student performance. Increased particulate pollution decreases test scores. These results are concentrated among schools with the highest longterm average levels of pollution. The effects of PM2.5 are larger for the poorest pupils by a factor of at least three. We demonstrate that poor air quality disproportionately impacts the human capital accumulation of economically disadvantaged children.
Authors

Research Economist University of Hawai`i Economic Research Organization


Associate Professor University of Pittsburgh

Research Fellow University College London
Áureo is an applied econometrician with strong interests in both methodological and empirical questions, affiliated with UCL, Cemmap, IFS and CEPR.
Working Paper details
- DOI
- 10.1920/wp.ifs.2025.0725
- Publisher
- Institute for Fiscal Studies
Suggested citation
Halliday, T et al. (2025). Vog: using volcanic eruptions to estimate the impact of air pollution on student test scores. 25/07. London: Institute for Fiscal Studies. Available at: https://ifs.org.uk/publications/vog-using-volcanic-eruptions-estimate-impact-air-pollution-student-test-scores (accessed: 19 July 2025).
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