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In UK data, I document the prevalence of misbeliefs regarding the State Pension eligibility age (SPA) and these misbeliefs predictivity of retirement. Exploiting policy variation, I estimate a lifecycle model of retirement in which rationally inattentive households learning about uncertain pension policy endogenously generate misbeliefs. Endogenous misbeliefs explain 43%-88% of the excessive (given financial incentives) drop in employment at SPA. To achieve this, I develop a solution method for dynamic rational inattention models with history-dependent beliefs. Costly attention makes the SPA up to 15% less effective at increasing old-age employment. Information letters improve welfare and increase employment.
Authors

Research Scholar University College London
Working Paper details
- DOI
- 10.1920/wp.ifs.2024.5924
- Publisher
- Institute for Fiscal Studies
Suggested citation
Hentall-MacCuish, J. (2024). Costly attention and retirement. 24/59. London: Institute for Fiscal Studies. Available at: https://ifs.org.uk/publications/costly-attention-and-retirement (accessed: 14 June 2025).
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