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    Trade Wars: The end of globalisation?

    podcast
    <p>Rising tariffs and trade wars are reshaping global trade. Is this the end of globalisation—and what does it mean for the UK and the world economy?</p>

    4 June 2025

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    Why is the government reforming health-related benefits?

    podcast
    <p>We discuss the government's welfare reforms aimed at helping sick and disabled people into work, and what the changes mean for health-related benefits</p>

    14 May 2025

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    What's the future of corporation tax?

    podcast
    <p><span style="color:black;font-family:&quot;Arial&quot;,sans-serif;">Corporation tax was introduced 60 years ago. Despite many predictions of its decline, it is now forecast to raise record amounts.&nbsp;</span></p>

    10 April 2025

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    Spending Review 2025: IFS analysis

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    <p>At this online event, <span class="TextRun SCXW147924733 BCX8 NormalTextRun" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color:transparent;-webkit-user-drag:none;font-family:Aptos, Aptos_EmbeddedFont, Aptos_MSFontService, sans-serif;font-size:12pt;font-variant-ligatures:none !important;line-height:20.85px;margin:0px;padding:0px;user-select:text;" lang="EN-US" data-contrast="auto" xml:lang="EN-US">IFS researchers presented their overnight analysis of the Spending Review.</span></p>
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    CIOT/IFS Debate: What next for international tax co-operation?

    event 16 June 2025
    <p>At this online event <span style="-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;background-color:rgb(255, 255, 255);color:rgb(0, 0, 0);display:inline !important;float:none;font-family:&quot;Open Sans&quot;, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:16px;font-style:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-align:left;text-decoration-color:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;white-space:normal;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;">an expert panel will debate the future of international tax co-operation.</span></p>
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    Scaling early childhood development programmes and policies in low- and middle-income countries

    conference 24 June 2025
    <p><span data-teams="true">Thrive, on behalf of IFS and OPM, is hosting a two-day international interdisciplinary conference.</span></p>
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Data Item

  • Autumn Budget 2024

Spending and revenues as a share of national income: out-turn and October 2024 forecast

Published on 30 October 2024

Government spending in 2029-30 is set to remain 5% of national income above the pre-pandemic level.

  • Government finances and spending
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    Drastic times need drastic action: breaking the 50-year tax taboo

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    Rachel Reeves should consider increasing the basic rate, just as Denis Healey did in 1975 

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    Today it was confirmed that the changes to welfare represent a £4.2bn net saving by 2029-30 (2025-26 prices). 

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    Popularity of new childcare entitlements could leave spending much higher than initially forecast

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    New childcare entitlements have proven popular – meaning spending from 2026 onwards could be £1 billion higher than originally forecast.

    12 June 2025

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    Spending Review 2025

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    Find our analysis, events and more surrounding the 2025 Spending Review here.

    11 June 2025

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    A look ahead to the 2025 Spending Review

    event 2 June 2025 at 11:00

    At this online event, researchers presented what the key choices will be at the Spending Review.

    Academic research

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    Future challenges for health and social care provision in the UK

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    We consider recent trends in health and social care productivity and the scope for future improvements.

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    The future of public pension provision in the UK: challenges and trade-offs

    journal article

    The UK state pension system faces significant challenges given the country’s ageing population, but it is crucial for retirement finances.

    6 June 2025

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    Do work search requirements work? Evidence from a UK reform targeting single parents

    working paper
    We assess whether work search requirements for out-of-work welfare claimants are effective in inducing individuals to work & delivering fiscal savings

    1 February 2023

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